Seminar BRICs et économies émergentes - 2023-2024 : face à la fragmentation du monde / Seminar BRICs and emerging economies - 2023-2024: facing the fragmentation of the world

L'argument du séminaire / Outline of the seminar

Presentation (in French) :

In 2023-2024, the world is still reeling from the effects of this major crisis. The international system is once again showing its institutional weaknesses in the face of an event as brutal as it was unforeseen. The economic shockwave of the conflict has spread everywhere, first through the classic channels of the financial markets, then through the regional and global consequences of the war on the prices and availability of energy and cereals. The much-discussed effects of the OECD countries' sanctions on Russia are also being felt on regional and trans-regional economic exchanges, which have been reoriented and recomposed.

Absorbed by internal political deadlines and an economic slowdown that is being confirmed, while its own financial and real estate imbalances are reaching unprecedented levels, China is balancing between diplomatic support for Russia, always welcome when it points to Western responsibilities in the disintegration of global governance, and the need to limit the consequences of the conflict on its economic ties with Europe and the United States, but also on its flagship New Silk Road project. In the summer of 2023, however, it was she who gave the impetus to a symbolically important transformation of the BRICS group: the inclusion of six countries (Saudi Arabia, Argentina, Egypt, United Arab Emirates, Ethiopia, Iran) with dissimilar profiles, the effects of which are still to come and will need to be analyzed.

At a time when emergencies are spreading in multiple directions - health, military, humanitarian, energy, food, socio-ecological - the BRICs seminar does not intend to abandon structural and historical questioning, nor the mobilization of theoretical approaches inspired by institutionalism, which give full scope to interdisciplinary thinking. In 2023-2024, questions relating to the environment, work and social transformations will continue to be the focus of our discussions, through the themes of our guests. The fields on which these questionings will focus will not be limited to the BRICS, even if enlarged.

Continuing a collaboration begun two years ago with the Erasmus Mundus Master EPOG+ (European Policies for the Global Transition, Université Paris Cité), Inalco's BRICS seminar will hold special sessions shared with EPOG+ (called BRICs+). Most of our sessions will be held face-to-face, two Wednesdays a month, at 6:00 pm at Inalco's Maison de la Recherche, 2, Rue de Lille (Salle Sylvestre de Sacy, 2nd floor) starting October 4, 2023 at 6:00 pm. The inaugural session will review China's macroeconomics, with Yuan Zhegang, from Fudan University (Shanghai). Two seminars shared with colleagues from Sciences po Bordeaux, Université Paris Cité and Université de Lille are also planned for this year.

Presentation:

Facing the succession of crises and the divergence in the trajectories of the countries that compose it, the BRICS group and the emerging economies are navigating by sight. At the start of 2022, when the "world before" saw the possibility of a return to a form of normality - admittedly weighed down by environmental issues -, after two years of a pandemic coming from China, it was Russia which played the role of global destabilizer by provoking, through its invasion of Ukraine, the strongest military explosion in Europe since the Second World War.

In 2023-2024, the world is still experiencing the effects of this major crisis. The international system is once again forced to admit its institutional weaknesses in the face of such a brutal and unforeseen event. The economic shock of the conflict spread everywhere, first through the classic channels of financial markets, then through the regional and global consequences of the war on the prices and availability of energy and cereals. The effects of the sanctions of OECD countries on Russia, widely discussed, are also being felt on regional and trans-regional economic exchanges, which have been reoriented and recomposed.

Absorbed by its internal political deadlines and an economic slowdown which is confirmed while its own financial and real estate imbalances reach unprecedented levels, China balances between diplomatic support for Russia, always welcome when it allows pointing out Western responsibilities in the disintegration of global governance, and the need to limit the consequences of the conflict on its economic ties with Europe and the United States, but also on its flagship New Silk Road project. In the summer of 2023, however, it was China who gave the impetus to a symbolically important transformation of the BRICS group: the inclusion of six countries (Saudi Arabia, Argentina, Egypt, United Arab Emirates, Ethiopia, Iran) of dissimilar profiles, the effects of which are still to unfold and which will need to be analyzed.

In these times when the emergency is spreading in multiple directions - health, military, humanitarian, energy, food, socio-ecological - the BRICs seminar does not intend to abandon structural and historical questions, nor the mobilization of theoretical approaches inspired by institutionalism, which give its full place to interdisciplinary reflection. In 2023-2024, questions relating to the environment, work and social transformations will continue to be the subject of our discussions, through the themes of our guests. The areas on which these questions will focus will not be limited to BRICS, even in its new, expanded perimeter.

Continuing a collaboration started two years ago with the Erasmus Mundus Master EPOG+ (European Policies for the Global Transition, Université Paris Cité), the BRICS seminar at Inalco will hold special sessions shared with EPOG+ (called BRICs+). Most of our sessions will be held in person, two Wednesdays per month, at 6 p.m. at the Inalco Research House, at 2, Rue de Lille (Salle Sylvestre de Sacy, 2nd floor) from October 4, 2023 at 6 p.m. The inaugural session will take stock of China's macroeconomics, with Yuan Zhegang of Fudan University (Shanghai). Two seminars shared with our colleagues from Sciences po Bordeaux, Paris Cité University and the University of Lille are also planned for this year.

Le calendrier du séminaire / Timetable of the seminar

- MERCREDI 4 OCTOBRE 2022 - Séance 1 - Maison de la Recherche - Salon Borel (1ère étage) - 2 rue de Lille Paris 7ème et distanciel (link)

• Yuan Zhigang (Fudan University (Shanghai) : Chinese macro challenges

- WEDNESDAY OCTOBER 18, 2023 - Session 2 - Maison de la Recherche - Salle de Sacy (2nd floor) - 2 rue de Lille Paris 7th and distanciel (link)

• Jean-François Ponsot (Université de Grenoble-Alpes): edollarization and emerging markets with a focus on Latin America

- WEDNESDAY NOVEMBER 8, 2023 - Session 3 - Maison de la Recherche - Salle de Sacy (2nd floor) - 2 rue de Lille Paris 7ème and in videoconference with this link (meeting ID: 975 4828 7861)

• Jean-Christophe Noël, Raphaël Briant, Julien Nocetti and Louis Lamiot: The Chinese Air Force : a weapon serving an ambition
  

- WEDNESDAY NOVEMBER 22, 2023 - Session 4 - Maison de la Recherche - distance learning only (link)

• Christophe Cordonnier (Finexcoop Georgia): Economic trajectories of the South Caucasus in the context of the war in Ukraine: Georgia and the prospect of European integration

- WEDNESDAY DECEMBER 6, 2023 - Session 5 - Maison de la Recherche - Salle de Sacy (2nd floor) - 2 rue de Lille Paris 7ème

• Karine Marazyan: joint EPOG + Colonial Justice in West Africa

- WEDNESDAY DECEMBER 13, 2023 - Session 6 in Bordeaux

• Study Day 1: joint seminar with Bordeaux colleagues and ARC seminar (regulation and crises)

- WEDNESDAY JANUARY 10, 2024 - Session 7 - Maison de la Recherche - Sorbonne Université

• Stéphane Grumbach: The stakes of artificial intelligence in China-U.S. disputes

- WEDNESDAY JANUARY 24, 2024 - Session 8 - Maison de la Recherche - Auditorium Dumézil - 2 rue de Lille Paris 7ème - from 4:00 pm to 7:00 pm

• Study Day 2: joint seminar with Bordeaux colleagues and ARC seminar (regulation and crises)
• Robert Boyer (Institut des Amériques), Thibaud Deguilhem (Université Paris Cité), Pascal Grouiez (Université Paris Cité), Elsa Lafaye de Micheaux (Inalco), Thomas Lamarche (Université Paris Cité) and Julien Vercueil (Inalco), with the participation of Jean-François Huchet, President of Inalco: Regulation Theory, Emergence and Development: un Nouvel État des Savoirs

- WEDNESDAY FEBRUARY 7, 2024 - Session 9 - Maison de la Recherche - Salle de Sacy (2nd floor) - 2 rue de Lille Paris 7ème

• Florent Bédécarrats: Methodological Criticism of Randomized Control Trials

- WEDNESDAY 6 MARCH 2024 - Session 10 - Maison de la Recherche - Salle de Sacy (2ème étage) - 2 rue de Lille Paris 7ème

• Thierry Pairault: Debt in the China-Africa relationship

- WEDNESDAY 20 MARCH 2024 - Session 11 - Maison de la Recherche - Salle de Sacy (2ème étage) - 2 rue de Lille Paris 7ème

• Sudip Chaudhuri: Vaccine production in India and intellectual property: the case of Covid

- WEDNESDAY APRIL 3, 2024 - Session 12 - Maison de la Recherche - Salle de Sacy (2nd floor) - 2 rue de Lille Paris 7ème

• Favia Flabiano: Chinese sustainability standards in Southeast Asia: the case of palm oil production value chains

- WEDNESDAY APRIL 17, 2024 - Session 13 -

• to come

- WEDNESDAY 24 APRIL 2024 - Session 14 - Maison de la Recherche - Salon Borel (1ère étage) - 2 rue de Lille Paris 7ème

• à venir

- WEDNESDAY MAY 15, 2024 - Session 15 - DISTANCIEL OR UPC (subject to confirmation)

• to come

- WEDNESDAY JUNE 5, 2024 - Session 16 - Maison de la Recherche - Salle de Sacy (2nd floor) - 2 rue de Lille Paris 7ème

Organizer

Julien Vercueil (CREE, Inalco)

Contact

julien.vercueil@inalco.fr